Thursday, 26 December 2013

Traffic Forecasting


There are several principals adopted to  forecast a container terminal  traffic . This has to be done by carefully as today containerization is a growing mode of traffic . Some of the things to be considered as follows :-

1)---  Percentage of any trade which may become containerized must be determined on the specific commercial and economic grounds for each case .

2)---  There are no fixed list of commodities as containerisable goods . But wider range of goods is being shipped in Containers every year .

3)---  Provisions must be made for substantial proportion of the movements of empty boxes .

4)---  The average weight of cargo per TEU must be calculated on experience . This varies from 5 to 18 tons which vary commodity wise .

5)---   The percentage traffic of import and export containers must be forecasted . This again needs study in to the export prospects of the selected port region , import needs , stuffing , destuffing facilities , road access etc . This is important and when involved in the planning of a new port where a port is already existing in the region . In this case all have to make the new port with facilities which are lacking in the old one .

6)---  It is necessary to project the traffic in Tons . For this average weight per TEU is calculated . An average of 12 tons per TEU is standard  figure .

7)---  The hinterland an hence the port demand can be affected by change in the following factors .

         -----  Population Growth
         -----  Regional Development Plans
         -----  Land Transport Development
         -----  Coastal Shipping and Inland Waterways Developments
         -----  Possible reallocation or diversion of the traffic to or from neighboring ports respectively .

8)---  Change in Handling Methods and Container size and diameters etc  .

No comments:

Post a Comment

Our Letest Post

Difference Between Logistics, Supply Chain and Transport.

Many professionals and new comers in the field of Logistics and Supply Chain get always confused regarding these terms and always asking a...

Important For You